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Exploring Mortgage Rates and Transaction Volume in the Housing Market
In the ever-evolving landscape of the housing market, mortgage interest rates and transaction volume play pivotal roles in shaping the dynamics between buyers and sellers. In this blog post, we will analyze the trends in mortgage rates and transaction volume over a one-year period, highlighting their impact on the housing market.
Mortgage Interest Rates
Mortgage interest rates remained steady between 6% and 7% for the 30-year fixed mortgage from 2022 to 2023. However, experts anticipated a gradual decline in rates during the fourth quarter of 2023. A projected decrease would bring hope for relief in terms of lower interest payments, making homeownership more affordable. While market conditions can change, staying informed about these potential shifts is crucial for those considering a mortgage.
The transaction volume in the housing market witnessed a notable decrease, showing a year-over-year decline of 25.8%. Although this decline is significant, it is important to highlight that it is relatively less severe compared to the sharp 33% drop observed in January 2023.
Supply and Demand
Home prices are determined by the balance between supply and demand. Despite the decrease in transaction volume, the market is not witnessing an overwhelming surplus of sellers compared to buyers. This trend suggests that a housing market crash is unlikely at present.
As mortgage interest rates gradually decline and transaction volume adjusts, the housing market is expected to shift towards a buyer’s market, albeit remaining a seller’s market overall. The supply and demand dynamics continue to influence home prices, emphasizing the need for sellers to set realistic expectations. It is important to consider regional variations when assessing the current state of the housing market.